What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 17%, implying a 17% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Companies

Before 2030

Closes Jan 01, 2030 (1294d) 24h volume 177 Open interest 12.2K Event Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

17%

implied YES probability

-4.0pp 24h

Last 67 days · High 23% · Low 13% · 7d +25.0pp · 30d +25.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.