What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2030. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Climate and Weather

By 2025

Closes Dec 31, 2030 (1658d) 24h volume 126 Open interest 7.2K Event US meets its climate goals?

implied YES probability

+4.5pp 24h

Last 52 days · High 13% · Low 1% · 7d +195.4pp · 30d +550.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.