What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will LeBron's next contract average $4M-$10M per year?

$4M-$10M

Closes Oct 31, 2026 (114d) 24h volume $11 Open interest $11.8K Event NBA: How Much Will LeBron’s Next Contract Be?

16%

implied YES probability

-0.9pp 24h

Price history

Last 9 days · High 22% · Low 4% · 7d +102.7pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve in favor of the bucket that matches the annual average value of the next NBA contract of LeBron James as reported at signing. Only contracts with a minimum length of 1 year will be considered. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If LeBron James retires or does not agree to a contract with an NBA team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the acquiring team; however, a consensus of credible sources may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.