polymarket
Sports
Will Germany be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?
Germany
4%
implied YES probability
+1.3pp 24h
Price history
Not enough price history yet.
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”.
The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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