polymarket
Weather
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
10%
implied YES probability
-4.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 34 days ·
High 46% ·
Low 8%
· 7d -16.0pp
· 30d -74.4pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a confirmed case of Ebola in the territory of the United States of America reported between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any active laboratory-confirmed Ebola infection identified within U.S. territory will qualify, regardless of where exposure, symptom onset, or testing occurred.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information (e.g., the CDC); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.