What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will Paraguay advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Paraguay

Closes Jun 28, 2026 (10d) 24h volume $239 Open interest $2.3M Event World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

38%

implied YES probability

+1.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 52 days · High 67% · Low 32% · 7d -40.3pp · 30d -39.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.