What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

December 31, 2026

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (198d) 24h volume — Open interest $56.7K Event MegaETH airdrop by...?

30%

implied YES probability

-21.5pp 24h

Last 50 days · High 93% · Low 26% · 7d -21.8pp · 30d -62.8pp

this is a market on MegaETH airdrop

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.