polymarket
Sports
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
France
30%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 52 days ·
High 36% ·
Low 26%
· 7d +3.5pp
· 30d +9.3pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup final.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup final (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup final matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Bank of France cuts 2026 growth forecast to 0.5% from 0.9%
Investing.com · 11h ago
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Trump Speaks at G7 Summit in France; Oil Drops to Three-Month Low | Bloomberg Brief 6/16/2026
Bloomberg Markets · 17h ago
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.