polymarket
Sports
Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Spain
40%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 16 days ·
High 46% ·
Low 40%
· 7d -8.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Semifinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.