What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 10%, implying a 10% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

↑ $780

Closes Jul 01, 2026 (14d) 24h volume $2.9K Open interest $68.3K Event What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

10%

implied YES probability

-3.7pp 24h

Last 23 days · High 50% · Low 4% · 7d +106.9pp

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in June 2026?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.