What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 28%, implying a 28% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

↑ $755

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume $1.6K Open interest $26.0K Event What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 6 2026?

28%

implied YES probability

+16.5pp 24h

Last 7 days · High 70% · Low 14%

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of July 6 2026?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.