polymarket Pop Culture

Will Trump praise Elon Musk by July 31?

Elon Musk
Closes Jul 31, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $207 Open interest $7.9K Event Who will Trump publicly praise by July 31?
97%
implied YES probability
+6.1pp 24h

Price history

Last 11 days · High 97% · Low 62% · 7d +56.9pp
97%62%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly praises the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement includes any remark by Trump that expresses approval, admiration, respect, or endorsement of the listed individual personally or professionally. This can include direct praise (e.g., “He/She is smart,” “He’s/She's a great leader”) or equivalent positive descriptions (“impressive,” “strong,” “brilliant,” “doing a great job”) made in reference to the listed individual. Any statement that clearly expresses approval, admiration, or endorsement of the listed individual personally qualifies for this market regardless of context (e.g., "He/She is very smart, but he/she doesn’t seem to know that this policy will harm more of his/her constituents." would qualify). General neutrality or polite diplomatic language (e.g., “We had a good meeting”) will not qualify unless it contains a clear element of positive evaluation. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that he is the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded usage will qualify. The resolution source for this market will be public statements from Donald Trump.

Other outcomes in this event

Weijia Jiang
91% YES
24h vol $107

Recent news mentioning this market

Related stocks

TSLA Tesla, Inc. Common Stock

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.