What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 19, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

United States (-2.5)

Closes Jun 19, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $118 Open interest $46.0K Event United States vs. Australia - More Markets

16%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Last 26 days · High 17% · Low 9% · 7d +34.8pp

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 19 at 3:00 PM ET.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.