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Will Portugal be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?

Final
Closes Jul 19, 2026 (32d) 24h volume $161 Open interest $9.3K Event World Cup: Portugal Stage of Elimination
12%
implied YES probability
-0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 12 days · High 48% · Low 9% · 7d +31.6pp
48%9%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Portugal is eliminated. If Portugal wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Portugal is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Portugal based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.