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Will Gunnar Henderson lead the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season?

Gunnar Henderson
Closes Sep 28, 2026 (90d) 24h volume $631 Open interest $1.7K Event MLB: Runs Leader
18%
implied YES probability
+16.9pp 24h

Price history

Last 32 days · High 3% · Low 1% · 7d -37.9pp · 30d -67.9pp
3%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the player who scores the most runs during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher on base percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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AI analysis

The prediction market for Gunnar Henderson leading the MLB in runs for the 2026 regular season currently prices his likelihood at 1%, indicating a low probability of occurrence. This assessment is informed by known facts about Henderson's performance to date and the competitive landscape of the league. The current price reflects the collective opinion of market participants, who are weighing Henderson's skills against those of other players vying for the top spot. A significant change in Henderson's performance or an unexpected development in the league could potentially drive the price up, while a strong showing from another player or an injury to Henderson could cause the price to decline. The market will resolve on September 28th, 2026, based on the official MLB statistics for the regular season.
Generated Jun 29, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.