What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 19%, implying a 19% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $807 Open interest $397.2K Event Argentina vs. Switzerland - More Markets

19%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 16% · Low 14%

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 11 at 9:00 PM ET.

MTCH Match Group, Inc

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.