What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $770 Open interest $41.2K Event UFC 329: King Green vs. Terrance McKinney (Lightweight, Main Card)

22%

implied YES probability

Price history

Not enough price history yet.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "King Green" if King Green is officially declared the winner of the fight against Terrance McKinney at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Terrance McKinney" if Terrance McKinney is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.