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Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 25, 2026?

June 25
Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume $27 Open interest $20.4K Event Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?
92%
implied YES probability
-1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 17 days · High 94% · Low 91% · 7d -1.1pp
94%91%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

June 19
93% YES
24h vol $35
June 20
93% YES
24h vol $46
June 24
93% YES
24h vol $12
June 28
93% YES
24h vol $18
June 21
92% YES
24h vol $135
June 17
92% YES
24h vol $1.1K
June 18
90% YES
24h vol $957
June 16
90% YES
24h vol $13.6K

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.