What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 28, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

South Africa

Closes Jun 28, 2026 (10d) 24h volume $3.5K Open interest $2.3M Event World Cup: Team to advance to Knockout Stages

16%

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 52 days · High 50% · Low 16% · 7d -57.1pp · 30d -61.6pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed nation advances to the Knockout Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed nation to advance to the Knockout Stage (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 32 matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

TISI Team, Inc.

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.