polymarket Finance

Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?

Elon Musk / X (Twitter)
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $140 Open interest $51.1K Event Who will acquire TikTok?
1%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 89 days · High 15% · Low 1% · 7d -5.3pp · 30d -14.3pp
15%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that that the listed individual, either personally or through an entity, enters into an agreement with TikTok to acquire its US operations by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by the listed individual; their involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the listed individual and/or TikTok, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

Larry Ellison/Oracle
100% YES
24h vol —
AppLovin
2% YES
24h vol $71
Microsoft
1% YES
24h vol $77
Walmart
1% YES
24h vol $87
Meta
1% YES
24h vol $100
Amazon
1% YES
24h vol $74

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.