What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 21, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

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Will paiN win IEM Cologne Major 2026?

paiN

Closes Jun 21, 2026 (3d) 24h volume — Open interest $1.2M Event IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 65 days · High 8% · Low 0% · 7d -72.7pp · 30d -25.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, ESL (https://pro.eslgaming.com/). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/counterstrike/Intel_Extreme_Masters/2026/Cologne) may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.