What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 70%, implying a 70% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

Will MagicBlock launch a token by December 31, 2026?

December 31, 2026

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (562d) 24h volume $130 Open interest $3.3K Event Will MagicBlock launch a token by ___?

70%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 29 days · High 84% · Low 50% · 7d -9.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if MagicBlock officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by MagicBlock will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from MagicBlock (https://x.com/magicblock), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.