What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 76%, implying a 76% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2028. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?

September 30, 2026

Closes Jan 01, 2028 (563d) 24h volume $122 Open interest $6.4K Event Will Cambria launch a token by ___?

76%

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 27 days · High 84% · Low 40% · 7d +39.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cambria officially launches a token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only an official token launched by Cambria will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Cambria (https://x.com/playcambria), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.