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Will James Harden play for the Memphis Grizzlies in 2026-27?

Memphis Grizzlies
Closes Oct 31, 2026 (114d) 24h volume $10 Open interest $1.9K Event NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
1%
implied YES probability
-1.2pp 24h

Price history

Last 17 days · High 3% · Low 1% · 7d +73.9pp
3%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.

Other outcomes in this event

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AI analysis

The prediction market for James Harden's next team in the 2026-27 NBA season currently indicates a 2% probability that he will play for the Memphis Grizzlies. This assessment is informed by known facts about Harden's current contract and free agency status. The market price would likely increase if there were credible reports of negotiations or discussions between Harden and the Grizzlies, or if other teams with similar needs and resources expressed interest in signing him. Conversely, a decrease in the YES price could occur if rumors suggest Harden is leaning towards re-signing with his current team or exploring opportunities with other suitors. The market's resolution will be determined by Harden's official next team announcement by October 31, 2026, at which point any uncertainty surrounding his future will be clarified.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.