What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 14%, implying a 14% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81

1M+

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (175d) 24h volume $291 Open interest $116.9K Event Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

14%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 64% · Low 9% · 7d -3.7pp · 30d -60.6pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy Incorporated or Michael Saylor officially announce that the company’s total Bitcoin holdings are equal to or greater than the number specified in the title at any point by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from MicroStrategy or Michael Saylor as to their total BTC holdings. For reference, MicroStrategy’s reported BTC holdings can be tracked at: https://www.strategy.com/purchases

Related stocks

MSTR Strategy Inc Common Stock Class A

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.