polymarket
Sports
Will USA be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
Final
6%
implied YES probability
+1.9pp 24h
Price history
Last 11 days ·
High 16% ·
Low 2%
· 7d +157.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which USA is eliminated. If USA wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If USA is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by USA based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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