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Will Spain be an advancing Group Stage third-place team at the 2026 World Cup?

Spain
Closes Jun 29, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $30 Open interest $13.7K Event World Cup: Third-Place Teams to Advance
3%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 5 days · High 4% · Low 1%
4%1%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed team finishes third in its group and is one of the eight best third-placed teams that advance to the knockout stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A team that finishes third in its group but is NOT among the eight that advance resolves “No”. A team that does not finish third in its group (whether it finishes higher or lower) also resolves “No”. The eight best third-placed teams are determined by the official ranking procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after July 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the best third-place qualifiers cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

Scotland
64% YES
24h vol $10
Algeria
62% YES
24h vol $18
Senegal
47% YES
24h vol $189
Türkiye
42% YES
24h vol $70
Czechia
40% YES
24h vol $20
Jordan
30% YES
24h vol $5
DR Congo
24% YES
24h vol $21
New Zealand
17% YES
24h vol $200

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.