What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 27%, implying a 27% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Draw (Argentina vs. Switzerland)

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $18.1K Open interest $321.0K Event Argentina vs. Switzerland

27%

implied YES probability

-0.6pp 24h

Last 2 days · High 28% · Low 28%

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Saturday, July 11, 2026 between Argentina and Switzerland.

Open on Polymarket

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.