polymarket Weather

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on July 9?

24°C
Closes Jul 09, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $5.5K Open interest $71.1K Event Highest temperature in Istanbul on July 9?
100%
implied YES probability
+74.4pp 24h

Price history

Last 3 days · High 44% · Low 28%
44%28%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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