What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on —. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will Neymar score 5+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Closes — 24h volume $17 Open interest $15.4K Event World Cup: Neymar Goals

implied YES probability

-0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 7 days · High 34% · Low 2%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Neymar scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Only goals credited on FIFA's official scoresheet will count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the final total. If Neymar does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Neymar scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.