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Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?

120-139
Closes Jul 17, 2026 (7d) 24h volume $6.2K Open interest $93.3K Event Elon Musk # tweets July 10 - July 17, 2026?
8%
implied YES probability
-3.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 3 days · High 11% · Low 11%
11%11%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 10 12:00 PM ET to July 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

180-199
16% YES
24h vol $2.6K
160-179
14% YES
24h vol $3.3K
200-219
14% YES
24h vol $1.7K
140-159
12% YES
24h vol $6.0K
220-239
12% YES
24h vol $2.7K
240-259
8% YES
24h vol $2.1K
260-279
6% YES
24h vol $1.3K
100-119
4% YES
24h vol $6.5K

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.