What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 54%, implying a 54% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

O/U 1.5 Rounds

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $9 Open interest $13.3K Event UFC 329: Cesar Almeida vs. Damian Pinas (Middleweight, Early Prelims)

54%

implied YES probability

Price history

Not enough price history yet.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Cesar Almeida" if Cesar Almeida is officially declared the winner of the fight against Damian Pinas at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Damian Pinas" if Damian Pinas is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.