What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will Lando Norris win the 2026 Action of the Year?

Lando Norris

Closes Dec 13, 2026 (156d) 24h volume $163 Open interest $2.1K Event F1: Action of the Year

implied YES probability

+0.7pp 24h

Price history

Last 47 days · High 6% · Low 1% · 7d +4.0pp · 30d -18.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the driver who wins the 2026 Action of the Year award for the 2026 Formula 1 season as awarded at the FIA Awards. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by FIA rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Formula 1 season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the FIA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.