What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Spain (-4.5)

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $539 Open interest $1.8M Event Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets

implied YES probability

-0.7pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 6% · Low 2%

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.