What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 26, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will the winner of the 2026 Tour De France be from Germany?

Germany

Closes Jul 26, 2026 (17d) 24h volume $217 Open interest $2.6K Event Tour De France 2026: Winner Nationality

implied YES probability

Price history

Not enough price history yet.

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the listed nationality of the 2026 Tour de France champion. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the nationality of the rider whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 Tour de France is cancelled, postponed after July 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the Tour de France website.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.