What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 95%, implying a 95% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2025. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Pop Culture

Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by August 31?

August 31

Closes Dec 31, 2025 (0d) 24h volume $20 Open interest $34.6K Event Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by...?

95%

implied YES probability

+2.9pp 24h

Price history

Last 20 days · High 97% · Low 76% · 7d +0.8pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce's marriage takes place by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resole to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Travis Kelce and Taylor Swift, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.