What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 100%, implying a 100% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 29, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

World Cup: Winless Team?

Closes Jun 29, 2026 (11d) 24h volume $3.3K Open interest $29.0K Event World Cup: Winless Team?

100%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 44 days · High 100% · Low 97% · 7d +0.2pp · 30d +1.2pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any team fails to record a win during the group stage at the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition is cancelled, postponed after July 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or official group stage results are not available within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.