polymarket
Sports
Will France be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
Semifinals
27%
implied YES probability
+2.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 35 days ·
High 45% ·
Low 12%
· 7d +11.4pp
· 30d +28.9pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which France is eliminated. If France wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'.
If France is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by France based on the best available official information.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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