polymarket
Finance
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 86 days ·
High 6% ·
Low 0%
· 7d +100.0pp
· 30d -47.4pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity, will be, has been, or is entering into an agreement to acquire OnlyFans (or its parent company) by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying acquisition or acquisition announcement must include the acquisition of a controlling interest in OnlyFans (or its parent company) by Elon Musk, either personally or through an entity. A "controlling interest" is defined as an ownership stake sufficient to control the company's strategic decisions, typically more than 50% of equity, or equivalent control via voting rights, governance rights, board control, or other mechanisms. Transactions or investments that do not result in a transfer of controlling interest, such as minority stake purchases, will not count.
An announcement of a qualifying acquisition by Elon Musk, OnlyFans, or their parent entities will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition actually occurs.
The entity entering into the agreement does not need to be controlled by Elon Musk; his involvement as a partial owner, investor, or similar role will qualify only if the transaction results in a controlling interest as defined above.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Elon Musk and/or OnlyFans, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent news mentioning this market
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The British MP Trying to Outflank Farage With Elon Musk’s Help
Bloomberg Politics · 1h ago
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Jim Cramer says SpaceX investors aren't buying earnings — they're buying Elon Musk
CNBC Top News · 6h ago
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Elon Musk Just Delivered Fantastic News for ASML Stock Investors
Motley Fool · 8h ago
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Elon Musk’s trillionaire status underscores U.S. wealth inequality: Senator Warnock
Seeking Alpha · 10h ago
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SpaceX Shares Hit New High as Elon Musk's Firm Agrees to Acquire AI Startup Cursor for $60 Billion
Yahoo Finance · 11h ago
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