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Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group I?

Group I (Senegal, Norway, France, Iraq)
Closes Jul 20, 2026 (10d) 24h volume $56 Open interest $28.0K Event World Cup: Group of Champion
40%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 35 days · High 41% · Low 18% · 7d +6.8pp · 30d +88.1pp
41%18%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the group from which the winning national team of the 2026 FIFA World Cup originated in the group stage. For example, if a team drawn into Group A wins the tournament, this market will resolve to “Group A”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

Group J (Algeria, Jordan, Argentina, Austria)
20% YES
24h vol $951
Group H (Cape Verde, Uruguay, Spain, Saudi Arabia)
18% YES
24h vol $11
Group L (England, Ghana, Croatia, Panama)
16% YES
24h vol $58
Group C (Scotland, Brazil, Haiti, Morocco)
4% YES
24h vol $73
Group B (Canada, Qatar, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Switzerland)
2% YES
24h vol $116

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.