What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 01, 2027. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Crypto

Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?

December 31, 2026

Closes Jan 01, 2027 (197d) 24h volume $20 Open interest $8.7K Event Consensys IPO by ___ ?

22%

implied YES probability

+0.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 52% · Low 18% · 7d +4.8pp · 30d -17.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if ConsenSys (the parent company of MetaMask) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If ConsenSys is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.