What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 21%, implying a 21% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 01, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

↑ $4,400

Closes Aug 01, 2026 (22d) 24h volume $3.6K Open interest $134.9K Event What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in July 2026?

21%

implied YES probability

+7.5pp 24h

Last 15 days · High 40% · Low 12% · 7d -35.1pp

What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in July 2026?

GOLD Gold.com, Inc.

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.