polymarket Sports

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

France
Closes — 24h volume $15.2K Open interest $591.6K Event World Cup: Nation To Reach Quarterfinals
62%
implied YES probability
+2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 16 days · High 62% · Low 57% · 7d +5.2pp
62%57%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

Argentina
60% YES
24h vol $11.6K
Spain
56% YES
24h vol $12.7K
England
55% YES
24h vol $2.1K
Portugal
53% YES
24h vol $12.3K
Brazil
46% YES
24h vol $2.4K
Germany
40% YES
24h vol $4.2K
USA
36% YES
24h vol $2.6K
Belgium
36% YES
24h vol $90

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.