polymarket
Sports
Will Lionel Messi score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
3+
100%
implied YES probability
+51.4pp 24h
Price history
Last 6 days ·
High 63% ·
Low 46%
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of goals Lionel Messi scores during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only goals scored during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Only goals credited on FIFA's official scoresheet will count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. Own goals do not count toward the final total.
If Lionel Messi does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many goals Lionel Messi scored within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.