polymarket
Sports
Will 4+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4+ matches
68%
implied YES probability
+11.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 7 days ·
High 90% ·
Low 50%
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the total number of matches decided by a penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup equals or exceeds the listed number. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A match is counted if it proceeds to a penalty shootout to determine the result. Only knockout-stage matches can be decided by shootout.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed matches.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the exact total cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.