polymarket
Sports
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldo
84%
implied YES probability
+23.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 13 days ·
High 69% ·
Low 56%
· 7d +8.0pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Messi” if Lionel Messi scores more goals than Cristiano Ronaldo through all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Ronaldo”.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more assists during all rounds of the main tournament at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer goals from penalty kicks. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose team advances to the furthest round of the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If a player withdraws, or does not play for any reason, this market will resolve in favor of the opposing player. If both players do not play for any reason, this market will resolve to 50-50.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if it cannot be determined which player scored more goals within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50.
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by FIFA.
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.