Will Belgium win the World Cup?

This market will resolve according to the stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup at which Belgium is eliminated. If Belgium wins the tournament, this market will resolve to 'Champion'. If Belgium is disqualified, withdraws, is removed from the tournament, or the tournament is partially completed and not finished for any reason, this market will resolve according to the furthest completed round reached by Belgium based on the best available official information. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled in full, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 'Other'. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

The prediction market for Belgium's chances of winning the 2026 World Cup indicates a low probability of success, with a current YES price of 0.02, implying a 2% chance of victory. This assessment is informed by known facts about Belgium's performance in recent international tournaments and their standing within the global football community. The market is asking whether Belgium will advance beyond its expected stage of elimination, which is currently unknown but will be determined by the team's performance during the tournament. Any changes to this price would likely require significant improvements or setbacks in Belgium's performance, such as a deep run into the knockout stages or an early exit due to injury or poor form. The market's current valuation reflects the prevailing sentiment among traders and does not necessarily reflect the actual chances of Belgium winning the World Cup.