What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 16%, implying a 16% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Spain (-2.5)

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume $1.2K Open interest $1.8M Event Spain vs. Belgium - More Markets

16%

implied YES probability

-0.9pp 24h

Last 3 days · High 16% · Low 16%

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 10 at 3:00 PM ET.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.