What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 13, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

Will Gunnar Henderson win the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award?

Gunnar Henderson

Closes Nov 13, 2026 (148d) 24h volume $75 Open interest $3.5K Event MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner

implied YES probability

-0.9pp 24h

Price history

Last 45 days · High 20% · Low 2% · 7d -27.7pp · 30d -70.6pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.