polymarket
Sports
Will Iran reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Iran
16%
implied YES probability
-6.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 16 days ·
High 24% ·
Low 15%
· 7d -33.3pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16.
If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Round of 16 matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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US Draft Deal Includes Financial Incentives for Iran | Balance of Power: Late Edition 06/16/2026
Bloomberg Politics · 5h ago
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The U.S. And Iran Reach Tentative Deal To End Hostilities, But Risks Remain
Seeking Alpha News · 10h ago
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BMW cuts 2026 outlook on China downturn, Iran war
Investing.com · 12h ago
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SpaceX Shares Surge, US & Iran Prepare for Deal Signing | The Opening Trade 6/16/2026
Bloomberg Markets · 18h ago
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